Practitioners of Cowboy Safety need to rapidly create future models of the short term and sometimes very very short term as well as years into the future. There are a variety of well understood and reliable tools for doing that starting with simple spreadsheets.
These practitioners must also keep records of the past even when they do not understand why. It is from these records that models of the past can be made.
"If you can't model the past where you know the answer pretty well, how can you model the future?"
This is a most succinct quote from William Happer who is the Cyrus Fogg Brackett Professor of Physics at Princeton University. While admittedly not a climatologist, Professor Happer has made the most rational and believable argument why increasing levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is to be desired rather than resisted.
Thucydides, author of The History of the Peloponnesian War, wrote in great detail. He wrote in such detail that his book has been called the most boring book ever written. He wrote in detail because he said he did not know what might be needed by future historians.
It is by modeling the past that we can model the future and thus avert the injuries and sometimes disastrous effects of hazards.
David Sneed